Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 362.765446 412.433185 467.932975 534.826042 613.633289 703.973188 816.012587
2025-08-03 281.304012 343.694288 419.838510 520.677912 652.321558 820.601001 1055.679199
2025-08-10 237.355324 303.719611 389.498680 510.483878 679.987378 914.077340 1270.996176
2025-08-17 215.419573 286.431098 382.740649 526.097443 739.731791 1055.903254 1578.436146
2025-08-24 193.512814 265.321441 366.566029 524.078794 771.231703 1159.248375 1847.389527
2025-08-31 174.303222 245.223205 348.551662 515.517887 789.543164 1242.870313 2099.979076
2025-09-07 161.161292 232.223108 338.981676 517.788222 824.169255 1357.575765 2432.506674
2025-09-14 147.123783 216.267539 322.850391 506.875210 834.091831 1429.724487 2700.173228
2025-09-21 137.039218 205.350197 313.302908 505.318593 859.482215 1533.640528 3057.556980
2025-09-28 124.449556 189.283076 293.745948 483.947893 845.122412 1557.802945 3247.247282
2025-10-05 120.705597 187.163353 296.977943 503.153286 910.069014 1752.800156 3885.020110
2025-10-12 117.820887 186.142463 301.849373 525.758111 985.031276 1983.991199 4687.978552
2025-10-19 111.766373 179.401277 296.371412 528.688145 1021.445205 2140.629897 5360.083505
2025-10-26 103.824875 168.789142 283.053588 514.838993 1020.161316 2209.862374 5812.852829
2025-11-02 97.215468 160.006419 272.277114 504.777455 1025.605172 2296.632102 6352.604664
2025-11-09 94.510030 157.982802 273.847269 520.179870 1091.553651 2552.562612 7549.699196
2025-11-16 89.897200 152.114534 267.559638 518.188616 1116.035014 2703.984717 8457.908567
2025-11-23 84.940660 145.252595 258.763634 509.743704 1123.395828 2809.565601 9248.113129
2025-11-30 81.567153 141.123829 254.997238 511.983316 1158.064689 3003.384718 10492.045536
2025-12-07 77.100305 134.611096 245.932574 501.217726 1157.287790 3089.909391 11330.674999
2025-12-14 73.896109 130.330138 241.081040 499.682083 1181.055557 3260.544827 12654.370006
2025-12-21 69.054662 122.562063 228.475745 478.597976 1148.092339 3237.952987 13037.954874
2025-12-28 68.236477 122.683674 232.375411 497.545931 1230.958317 3631.610336 15827.526729